
ExclusivePoliticsFederalResolve Political Monitor
March 15, 2026 — 6:00pm
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One Nation’s primary vote has surged to 24 per cent, overtaking the Coalition for the first time in Resolve polling.
The federal opposition’s primary support has plummeted to a record low of 22 per cent despite a leadership change.
Labor’s primary vote has also regressed to 29 per cent, its lowest mark in a year as half of all respondents said they would not vote for one of the major parties.
A rampant One Nation has begun taking support from the Albanese government, while the federal opposition’s primary vote has for the first time fallen behind Pauline Hanson’s crossbench party to hit a new record low.
The Coalition’s low primary vote stands in contrast to the reaction to the Liberal Party’s decision to dump Sussan Ley and switch to Angus Taylor. The new opposition leader recorded a net score of plus nine percentage points for his performance, compared to minus 17 percentage points for Albanese and a woeful minus 23 points for Ley in the final poll before she was forced out last month.